I came across this little paper on the Introduction to Dynamical Systems and Chaos online course from Santa Fe. It was provided as a supplementary reading in the ‘Modelling’ section. The paper lays out some of the most enduring misconceptions about building models.
“The modeling enterprise extends as far back as Archimedes; and so does its misunderstanding.”
So, why model? What are models? And who are modellers?
Prior to reading this paper, my short answers to these questions would have been in accordance with the widely held misconceptions that:
We model to explain and or predict. Models are formal representations (often mathematical) of phenomenon or processes. And a modeller is someone who builds these explicit formal mathematical models. However, Epstein explains:
“Anyone who ventures a projection, or imagines how a social dynamic—an epidemic, war, or migration—would unfold is running some model.”
I like the idea that we all run some…
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