via Colectivo de Impacto – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCoJ1a0NDc-BfL9appBEX3RA/videos
A series of pieces on coevolving.com from January-March of this year, which I’ll be linking out one per week (but all are on David Ing’s blog already). Here is 4/5
via Whom, when + where do Systems Changes situate? – Coevolving Innovations
Covering practical wisdom (phronesis), the third of four lectures again was compressed for the Systemic Design course in the Master’s program in Strategic Foresight and Innovation at OCAD University. The students in the part-time session on February 7 extended their discussion period longer than those in the full-time session on February 5. I again jumped slides in the sequence to stay within the timebox.
The agenda was in four sections:
The web video can be streamed on Youtube.
Copies of the video files are downloadable for disconnected viewing.
| Video | H.264 MP4 | WebM |
| February 7 (1h21m) |
[20200207_OCADU_Ing HD m4v] (HD 2477kbps 1.6GB) [20200207_OCADU_Ing nHD m4v] (nHD 1344kps 866MB) |
[20200207_OCADU_Ing HD webm] (HD VP8 375kbps 349MB) [20200207_OCADU_Ing nHD webm] (nHD VP8 139kbps 206MB) |
Readers who want to follow through on web link references may want to review the slides directly.
The same presentation slides were used for both lectures. The questions from the students were considerably different across the class sections, so the diligent listener might want to compare them. Versions boosted by 3db may make the audience discussion more audible.
| Audio | ||
| February 5 (57m12s) |
[202002-5_OCADU_Ing ValuesServicesSociotechnical .mp3] (53MB) |
[20200205_OCADU_Ing ValuesServicesSociotechnical plus3db.mp3] (53MB) |
| February 7 (1h21m) |
[2020207_OCADU_Ing ValuesServicesSociotechnical.mp3] (75MB) |
[20200207_OCADU_Ing ValuesServicesSociotechnical plus3db.mp3] (75MB) |
Whereas the second lecture tended to focus outside a system of interest towards other systems of influence, this third lecture oriented more inside the system of interest.
via Don’t put too much faith in Covid-19 metrics – UnHerd
In this new era, we’re all becoming data nerds, or hobby-level epidemiologists. We’re all suddenly conversant in things like case fatality rates and R0.
It makes for an attractive amateur pastime because lots of the things we are trying to know — such as how many people are infected, or how deadly the disease is — are hugely uncertain. But there’s another problem, which is that the things we measure are affected by the simple fact that we’re measuring them — and that the right things to measure change with every passing day.
For instance, we’re all wondering about the “exit strategy” — how, now that we’re all in lockdown, we’re going to get out of it. It’s going to involve some combination of testing, contact tracing, perhaps (eventually) immunity passports, and hopefully in the not-too-distant future vaccines and treatments.
But it’s also going to involve — probably — see-sawing back and forth between tight controls and more relaxed ones, trying to eke out the cases over months to avoid overwhelming the NHS. And those controls will have to be imposed and relaxed, to some degree, on the basis of metrics.
In the UK, it might look a bit like this. The 16 March Imperial modelproposed a sequence of automated triggers: specifically, when the number of ICU cases in a week reaches a certain number, say 100, the lockdown (school closures, social distancing, etc) is imposed; when they drop below another certain number, say 60, they are relaxed. The outcome — hopefully — will be a saw-toothed line on the chart: ICU cases jagging up, coming down, jagging up, coming down, but never breaching the line of health service capacity.
But once you start using ICU beds as a metric, you hit a problem. There’s this thing, “Goodhart’s law”. It’s named after the economist Charles Goodhart, and is usually formulated as “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” Goodhart proposed it (in more technical language) when discussing Margaret Thatcher’s economic policies, but it applies everywhere.
Continues in source: Don’t put too much faith in Covid-19 metrics – UnHerd
A very Senge-flavoured blog!
via When it comes to solving complex problems, collaborating isn’t enough – Systems thinking

‘Collaborate’ has become something of a rallying cry in the public sector over the past few years. We’ve heard how collaboration leads to better outcomes for citizens, how it has enabled civil servants to better spot (and avoid) unnecessary duplication and how it can improve morale. All good things.
However, when it comes to designing systemic policy solutions to complex problems, I believe that collaboration, on its own, is not enough. So what is needed beyond collaboration? I thought I’d share my thoughts in a blog post and share three concepts that might help you engage with stakeholders on the topic.
more and add comments When it comes to solving complex problems, collaborating isn’t enough – Systems thinking
An unclear and, I think, misunderstood take on cybernetics – unfortunately the author passed away last year, and the note of introduction explains this as the cause of some lack of clarity. It is interesting to see what people think, and both the facts and arguments in here are fascinating, but should be treated separately, I think.
Main site – http://matriztica.cl/
via Covid-19 means systems thinking is no longer optional
Ten ways to think bigger
Never has the interdependence of our world been experienced by so many, so directly, so rapidly and so simultaneously. Our response to one threat, Covid-19, has unleashed a deluge of secondary and tertiary consequences that have swept the globe faster than the virus itself. The butterfly effect has taken on new dimensions as the hard reality of system interdependence at multiple levels is brought directly into our homes and news feeds:
Students will be studying coronavirus for years. What lessons will we learn? What changes will it bring? Covid-19 presents many clear examples of effective systemic action, and stark lessons in the consequences of non-systemic thinking. Leaders and decision-makers everywhere are being compelled to think broader and deeper about causation and consequence. Decisions taken, even words spoken, without systemic awareness can have – indeed have had – profoundly damaging effects.
Systemic thinking, planning, action and leadership must now be mainstreamed – individually, organisationally, societally, across public, private and charity sectors. As an American diplomat reflected: “from climate change to the coronavirus, complex adaptive systems thinking is key to handling crises”. But currently, we do not think and act in accordance with how our complex systems function. In fact, some epidemiologists, suddenly the world’s most valuable profession, have been calling for more systemic ways of working for years.
more in source: Covid-19 means systems thinking is no longer optional
via Systems-centered therapy – Wikipedia
Not enough https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yvonne_Agazarian on here!
Loads more at https://www.systemscentered.com/
via Systems Thinking Ontario – 2020-04-20
April 20 (the third Monday of the month, following Easter) is the 78th meeting for Systems Thinking Ontario. The registration is on Eventbrite at https://systems-thinking-practical-wisdom.eventbrite.com.
Systems Thinking and Practical Wisdom
Whom, when and where do Systems Changes situate? We won’t necessary cover the whole agenda, but we have a complete set of slides that include:
For April, we’ll continue with the online, modified program, following the agenda for a lecture in the Systemic Design course, of the master’s program in Strategic Foresight & Innovation at OCADU. As in the March session, we still step through the slides slowly, and nurture a conversation that encourages participants to develop a personal appreciation through collective sensemaking.
Venue:
Suggested pre-reading:
Keeners may want to listen to the video or digital audio of the lecture at:
Agenda
Post-meeting artifacts
Bloggers are encouraged to write about their learning and experiences at the meeting. Links will be added to this page.
via Systems Thinking Ontario – 2020-04-20
More great systems thinking from this excellent football coaching blog!
Teasers:
A training session is just the expression of the coach and what he thinks his role is.
Within each team there can be 20 different game models because of the players.
Should coaches see themselves as designers (architects of an environment)?
Can we design context to create situations where the player decides so that they can connect their intentions with actions?
What coaches are doing with players is more or less what governing sports bodies, or federations or coach education institutions are doing with the coaches.
We can possibly learn more (about football) from attending a seminar on culture than one given by a professional coach
Those who only know about football, don’t know about football (Cesar Menotti)
via Frontiers | Guiding the Self-Organization of Cyber-Physical Systems | Robotics and AI
Self-organization offers a promising approach for designing adaptive systems. Given the inherent complexity of most cyber-physical systems, adaptivity is desired, as predictability is limited. Here I summarize different concepts and approaches that can facilitate self-organization in cyber-physical systems, and thus be exploited for design. Then I mention real-world examples of systems where self-organization has managed to provide solutions that outperform classical approaches, in particular related to urban mobility. Finally, I identify when a centralized, distributed, or self-organizing control is more appropriate.
via Beyond hierarchy: A complexity management perspective
via David Ing (click ‘youtube’ bottom right on each video to open in youtube and see the chat)
Border Zones of Ecology and Systems Theory
egon Becker
2011, Ecology Revisited
via Border Zones of Ecology and Systems Theory | egon Becker – Academia.edu
A serious challenge to some of the tropes and practices of ‘systems change’ and beyond…
via Art or lifeboats? — phoebe tickell
COMPLEXITY AND MORAL IMAGINING
I plunged myself into working across the education, food, technology, biotech, organisational and governance sectors after exiting a path that had already been paved out for me in academic science.
I left academic science to find the others — those who were committed to doing something as I watched the Earth burn. I was sitting in one of the world’s top biofuel labs and literally thinking to myself, I’m sitting here and watching the world burn. After a stint in climate activism and the fossil fuel divestment movement and realising that was pretty much pointless, I left.
I set out with enough energy to fuel full time self-directed research into the alternative options available to change the economic system, unwind climate change, stop ecological destruction, champion new forms of education, save lives, teach and design a master’s course, run a farming and land project, begin consulting, testing ideas through workshops, and have countless conversations with others who were signposted as ‘changemakers’.
In the process, something in me has died a little bit. I miss the analytic and rational approach from my days in the laboratory. In the world of “changemakers” I have seen so much work being fuelled by fantasy ideology and a sort of totally delusional psychological denial about the possibility of what is going to work, on what scale, and for whom. I think I have witnessed the birth (or growth, or rebirth) of a kind of new spiritual bypass — a form of spiritual belief which lets us feel good about doing work/projects that feel and look good, but don’t do good.
Continue and comment in source: Art or lifeboats? — phoebe tickell
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