Segal’s law is an adage that states:

A man with a watch knows what time it is. A man with two watches is never sure.^[1]

At surface level, the adage emphasizes the consistency that arises when information comes from a single source and points out the potential pitfalls of having too much conflicting information. However, the underlying message is to question the apparent certainty of anyone who only has one source of information. The man with one watch has no way to identify error or uncertainty.

History[edit]

The saying was coined by the San Diego Union on September 20, 1930: “Confusion.—Retail jewelers assert that every man should carry two watches. But a man with one watch knows what time it is, and a man with two watches could never be sure.” Later this was — mistakenly — attributed to Lee Segall of KIXL, then to be misquoted again by Arthur Bloch as “Segal’s Law”.^[2]

See also[edit]

• List of chronometers on HMS Beagle
• The four-faced liar
• Triple modular redundancy in chronometers
• wikt:a stopped clock is right twice a day

References[edit]

1. ^ Bloch, Arthur (2003). Murphy’s Law. New York: Perigee. p. 36. ISBN 978-0-399-52930-6. OCLC 52895461.
2. ^ “Barry Popik”.

External links[edit]

• Farmer, Dan; Wietse Venema (2006). “2”. Forensic Discovery. Addison-Wesley. ISBN 978-0-201-63497-6.

Segal’s law3 languagesArticleTalkReadEditView historyToolsFrom Wikipedia, the free encyclopediaSegal’s law is an adage that states:A man with a watch knows what time it is. A man with two watches is never sure.[1]At surface level, the adage emphasizes the consistency that arises when information comes from a single source and points out the potential pitfalls of having too much conflicting information. However, the underlying message is to question the apparent certainty of anyone who only has one source of information. The man with one watch has no way to identify error or uncertainty.History[edit]The saying was coined by the San Diego Union on September 20, 1930: “Confusion.—Retail jewelers assert that every man should carry two watches. But a man with one watch knows what time it is, and a man with two watches could never be sure.” Later this was — mistakenly — attributed to Lee Segall of KIXL, then to be misquoted again by Arthur Bloch as “Segal’s Law”.[2]

Segal’s law – Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Segal%27s_law

 April 12, 2024  daviding

What Can Systems Thinkers Learn From Music City-making? | Adam Hogan + Ziyan Hossein | Systems Thinking Ontario 2024-03-18 – Coevolving Innovations

Watch party in London (£5 and the company of ‘high agency techno-optimists’ https://lu.ma/wp-experiencing-complex-systems

Georgina Voss’ book  Systems Ultra: Making Sense of Technology in a Complex World is published by Verso in the UK and the US, in January 2024 https://gsvoss.com/systems-ultra

Georgina Voss will explore what a systems worldview is and how we experience and feel out our way within these structures.

By Centre for the Study of Existential Risk

Date and time

Tuesday, April 23 · 6 – 7:30pm GMT+1

Location

West HubJJ Thomson Avenue Cambridge CB3 0US United KingdomShow map

About this event

• 1 hour 30 minutes

The Centre for the Study of Existential Risk are pleased to host a public lecture by Georgina Voss.

From finance to supply chains to payment platforms, our lives are increasingly defined by complex technological systems. Yet it can be surprisingly difficult to define what a system actually is, or what it feels like. In this public lecture, Georgina Voss will draw on storytelling and artistic practice to explore what a systems worldview is, what it does, and, crucially, how we experience and feel out our way within these structures.

Professor Emily So will act as discussant for the lecture. The event will be chaired by Dr Maya Indira Ganesh.

Speakers:

• Georgina Voss is an artist, writer, and educator, and author of ‘Systems Ultra: Making Sense of Technology in a Complex World’ (Verso 2024). She co-founded and led the creative studios Strange Telemetry, and Supra Systems Studio (University of the Arts London).
• Professor Emily So is Professor of Architectural Engineering in the Department of Architecture and Director of the Cambridge University Centre for Risk in the Built Environment (CURBE). Emily is a chartered civil engineer, specialising in urban risk and seismic safety, with notable work in earthquake casualty estimation and interdisciplinary collaborations. She contributed to an award-winning seismic-resilient building design in China (2017) and advises on disaster risk mitigation through SAGE. Recognized with the 2010 Shah Family Innovation Prize, Emily’s expertise spans diverse natural perils and international research initiatives.
• Dr Maya Indira Ganesh is an assistant teaching professor at the Institute of Continuing Education (ICE) where she co-directs the , co-directing the MSt in AI Ethics and Society. Her research, rooted in cultural studies and feminist scholarship, explores the societal implications of algorithmic/AI technologies.. At CFI, Maya investigates how technology design intersects with people, places, and organizations, focusing on ethical and responsible AI. She has over a decade of experience as a researcher and activist in gender justice, security, and digital freedom of expression.

Please note there are tickets available for online or in-person.

If you are unable to attend the lecture, please return your ticket before the event through Eventbrite.

Organized by

Centre for the Study of Existential Risk

411 following this creator

The Centre for the Study of Existential Risk is a multidisciplinary research centre within the University of Cambridge dedicated to the study and mitigation of existential risks that could lead to human extinction or civilisational collapse.

Experiencing Complex Systems: An evening with Georgina Voss Tickets, Tue, Apr 23, 2024 at 6:00 PM | Eventbrite

https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/experiencing-complex-systems-an-evening-with-georgina-voss-tickets-869133811627

A presentation for the Oceania Chapter of the System Dynamics Society of the most memorable aha moments occurring during the past five decades while searching for understanding on the other side of complexity. These aha moments inspired me to become a Storyteller/Recovering Systems Thinker.

• What Does It Mean Video

Send feedback to SystemsWiki@gmail.com or if you have a Kumu Account you can start a discussion on one of the elements or add to an existing discussion by clicking on a red asterisk.

Meaning • Introduction / Default • Kumu

https://kumu.io/stw/meaning

We’re rebuilding Kumu The last time we teased you with a rebuild was in 2013. Back then, we were a nimble product with a small but keen set of users. Ten years on, it’s time to start talking about Kumu’s next chapter.​In the years since we lost Ryan, we’ve struggled to iterate on Kumu at the speed that you deserve. The UI still has some rough edges and there are longstanding bugs that we can’t easily fix. We’ve decided that it’s time for a rewrite.​Keep reading​ P.S. Interested in following along with the engineering and the design behind v3? Check out Making Kumu our new behind-the-scenes blog. Financing systems health As society, we’ve collectively built a set of norms, practices, and organizations to deliver funding for point solutions. Unfortunately, this architecture undercuts our ability to fund other critical drivers of system health that go beyond individual projects.Changing the way we fund system health work will not be easy, but it is necessary to create lasting change. In their most recent blog, Rob Ricigliano and Anna Muoio propose three correctives that might help.​ Keep reading ​Map the system We had the honor of supporting the University of Oxford’s Map the System competition again this year. Each year they host a global learning program and social innovation competition that equips students to use systems thinking to tackle social and environmental challenges. Head over to the blog to learn more about this year’s winners. We’ve been more intentional about showcasing compelling Kumu projects made by our community. Make sure to follow us on on your favorite social platform.​​​​​ Below are a few recent maps we’ve highlighted: ​Mapping songbird brain connectivity ​​Steps for successful implementation of biodiversity initiatives​​ Right-wing billionaires funding local school board elections in Texas ​​Systems Map of the fishing industry ​Our favorite complexity links ​The most severe risks we face over the next decade ​​Seeing like a superorganism​​ A systemic view of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict​

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Cybernetics Society

11 Apr 2024

The Cybernetics Society was honored to host Professor Karl J. Friston, Scientific Director: Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging for this talk. Professor Friston addressed the topic of how we can understand ourselves as sentient creatures and the principles that underwrite sentient behaviour, using the free energy principle to furnish an account in terms of active inference. A Q&A session followed.

The Physics of Sentience with Professor Karl Friston – YouTube

[My attempt at a LinkedIn-lenght piece]

[As I was told – IIRC by Aidan Ward (https://medium.com/@aidanward), the original Club of Rome modelling work included the water cycle (and more), but that was stripped out in terms of accessibility and a ‘simpler model’ and metric]

Dougald Hine

8 Apr 2024

Five years ago, Rob Lewis stumbled on a part of the story of climate science that he had never heard about: the impact of “land change” and the role of ecosystems as active co-creators of climate, rather than passive victims of changes in the atmosphere. In this conversation, we trace the story of how this side of the story of a changing climate was eclipsed by a focus on CO2 and other industrial emissions – and we ask how this changes the binary of doom vs techno-optimism that mostly frames the public debate and the discussions within the environmental movement over climate change. Check out Rob’s work: — The Climate According to Life on Substack: https://theclimateaccordingtolife.sub… — Putting the Land Back in Climate at Resilience.org: https://www.resilience.org/stories/20… — The Silence of Vanishing Things – more of Rob’s poetry – https://www.thesilenceofvanishingthin… To watch the full recording, including Q&A, you’ll need a paid subscription to Writing Home (which is also your ticket to join us for fortnightly live sessions on Zoom): https://dougald.substack.com/subscribe Meanwhile, you can watch the first forty minutes here on YouTube.

When Trees No Longer Milk the Sky with Rob Lewis | Sunday Sessions no.3 – YouTube

h/t Will Carey in the Facebook Permaculture Climate Action! group https://www.facebook.com/groups/2046655862094973/permalink/7477152932378545

April 16, 2024

By Gabriele Bammer

Integration and Implementation Sciences (i2S) 3.0: An updated framework to foster expertise for tackling complex problems – Integration and Implementation Insights

von Uexküll

Jakob Johann von Uexküll – Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jakob_Johann_von_Uexk%C3%BCll

Umwelt

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Umwelt

• Tim Elmo Feiten

“Jakob von Uexküll’s Concept of Umwelt” by Tim Elmo Feiten (Keywords: Biology; Metaphysics; Animals)

https://www.thephilosopher1923.org/post/jakob-von-uexkull-umwelt

Collaborating with teams to experience and think sustainably through games and participation. 

INTE.RES.T welcomes you to the GARDEN – the online platform where you can explore the power of systems thinking in games and alternate resources for your development, enlightenment, and nurturing.

IRT

https://www.irt-research.com

Hosted By Ryan B.

Details

This talk introduces “Patterns of Strategy” – a radically different approach to understanding and formulating business strategy which is built on a different paradigm to conventional strategic approaches.

We’ll take you through some of the theory, the practice and illustrate it with some examples. Patterns is “agile strategy” in two ways – first it is a dramatically faster way of developing strategy which means that you can speed up the cadence of formulation and execution. Second, it describes
a strategy as sets of manoeuvres and gives a totally different way to deal with the dynamics of strategic situations allowing the business to become more agile in its strategic environment.

The statistics on the failure of conventional strategy are shocking at 70%-98% failure rate,. We’ll look at why this is and at some of the ways in which conventional strategy is fundamentally flawed and show how Patterns provides a proven alternative.

About Patrick Hoverstadt
Patrick has worked as a consultant since 1995 with organisations of all sizes and internationally across 24 countries in the private, public and third sectors. He specialises in using systemic approaches, working mainly on strategy, organisational design and organisational change.
Patrick is the author of “Fractal Organisation”, a book on organisation design using the Viable System Model published by Wiley in 2008 which has been used used on seven masters programmes around the world. He is co-author of “Patterns of Strategy” a book on a systemic approach to strategy published by Gower in 2017, co-wrote 7 other books, and is the author of ‘The Grammar of Systems’ – a book on how to think like a systems thinker, published in 2022. He chairs SCiO the professional body for systems practitioners and is a Visiting Research Fellow at Cranfield School of Management.

Please note: This session will be recorded in speaker view.

Business StrategyBusiness Agility

Systemic Agility Community

See more events

Thursday, May 23, 2024 6:30 PM to 7:30 PM BST

Online event

https://www.meetup.com/systemicagility/events/299588054

Patrick Hoverstadt: Agility in business strategy, Thu, May 23, 2024, 6:30 PM | Meetup

Haley Fitzpatrick, Haley.Fitzpatrick@aho.no, Tobias Luthe, Birger Sevaldson

Haley Fitzpatrick, Tobias Luthe, and Birger Sevaldson explore methodological plurality and integrate quantitative scientific methods with participatory gigamapping and embodied practices. This longitudinal design inquiry engaged with communities undergoing sustainability transformations across three mountain regions: Ostana, Italy; Hemsedal, Norway; and Mammoth Lakes, California. The authors identify the need for contemplative and psychological practices in systemic design that focus on inner resilience.

DOWNLOAD ARTICLE PDF

#V2003 – 6 DOWNLOADS

VOLUME 2 | 2023–2024

https://doi.org/10.58279/v2000

© 2024 Author, published by the Systemic Design Association
Open Access article published under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International License

CITATION (APA)

Fitzpatrick, H., Luthe, T., & Sevaldson, B. (2024). Methodological Pluralism in Practice: A systemic design approach for place-based sustainability transformations. Contexts—The Systemic Design Journal, 2. https://doi.org/10.58279/v2003

Article Contents  show 

https://systemic-design.org/contexts/vol2/methodological-pluralism