Development Trajectories, Complexity Thinking and Theories of Change

jamorell's avatarEvaluation Uncertainty

Aaron E. Zazueta a@zazuetagroup.com;
Nima Bahramalian N.Bahramalian@unido.org;
Thuy Thu Le t.le@unido.org

This article builds on a previous contribution to this blog identifying a set of complex adaptive systems that are particularly useful in the formulation of theories of change (TOCs), find the link to the blog here. These include the concepts of the Social-Ecological Systems, boundaries, domains, scales, agents, adaptive behavior, and emergence and system development trajectory in the formulation of theories of change. This article briefly explains how to use these concepts and presents some aspects of an the article Development trajectories and complex systems-informed theories of change which was published in September 2020 in the American Journal of evaluation (Zazueta et al., 2020). A non-edited version of the article is available here. The article illustrates the use of the approach in  the evaluation of the UNIDO /SECO project SMART- Fish in Indonesia (UNIDO, 2019)…

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Emergence of Organisms – Roli and Kauffman (2020)

source (h/t complexity difest)

Entropy | Free Full-Text | Emergence of Organisms

Emergence of Organisms

by Andrea Roli 1,2,* and Stuart A. Kauffman 31Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna, Campus of Cesena, I-47522 Cesena, Italy2European Centre for Living Technology, I-30123 Venezia, Italy3Institute for Systems Biology, Seattle, WA 98109, USA*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.Entropy202022(10), 1163; https://doi.org/10.3390/e22101163Received: 27 September 2020 / Revised: 3 October 2020 / Accepted: 12 October 2020 / Published: 16 October 2020(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Advances in Biocomplexity)View Full-TextDownload PDFReview ReportsCite This Paper

Abstract

Since early cybernetics studies by Wiener, Pask, and Ashby, the properties of living systems are subject to deep investigations. The goals of this endeavour are both understanding and building: abstract models and general principles are sought for describing organisms, their dynamics and their ability to produce adaptive behavior. This research has achieved prominent results in fields such as artificial intelligence and artificial life. For example, today we have robots capable of exploring hostile environments with high level of self-sufficiency, planning capabilities and able to learn. Nevertheless, the discrepancy between the emergence and evolution of life and artificial systems is still huge. In this paper, we identify the fundamental elements that characterize the evolution of the biosphere and open-ended evolution, and we illustrate their implications for the evolution of artificial systems. Subsequently, we discuss the most relevant issues and questions that this viewpoint poses both for biological and artificial systems. View Full-Text

Keywords: emergenceevolutioncritical dynamicscyberneticsinformationbiosemioticsconstraint closureKantian wholeaffordanceentailing lawsconsciousness

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Entropy | Free Full-Text | Emergence of Organisms

Don’t miss our upcoming seminar – Online Hacks for the Systems Thinking Playbooks: A Community Conversation with Linda Booth-Sweeney, November 12 2020, 11 am EST

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Don’t miss our upcoming seminar – Online Hacks for the Systems Thinking Playbook
Online Hacks for the Systems Thinking Playbook Games: A Community Conversation
Thursday, November 12, 11 am New York, 4 pm London
Friday, November 13th, 12 am Beijing


Linda Booth Sweeney, co-author of The Systems Thinking Playbook and The Climate Change Playbook, will share ways to adapt short gaming exercises that illustrate the subtleties of systems thinking to a new online world. Participants are encouraged to share their methods for bringing these games and others online.Corporate consultants, K–12 teachers, non-profit leaders, and university faculty have widely used the more than thirty games classified by these areas of learning: Systems Thinking, Mental Models, Team Learning, Shared Vision, and Personal Mastery. This seminar is intended as an opportunity to convene the community of ST Playbook users to share innovative ideas, best practices, and questions. Special guests to be announced the first week of November. 

FREE for members, and just $25 for non-members! Save your seat. Spaces are limited.
LEARN MORE

book in source:

Don’t miss our upcoming seminar – Online Hacks for the Systems Thinking Playbook

SCiO virtual networking/social event 23 November 2020 and 25 January 2021 (*was 22 February), 6:30-8:30pm UK time

SCiO – systems and complexity in organisation – is the international systems practitioner body.

All our events are listed at www.systemspractice.org/events

We are running regular virtual networking and social events along with our open events (excellent systems speakers at a low fee), and our development events (members only but membership only £30 per year – open agendas for shared systems learning). The events include community building and open-space Zoom room discussions.

Nov 23, 2020 06:30-08:30PM London 
register
http://bit.ly/sciosocialnov20

Jan 25, 2021 06:30 PM London
register
http://bit.ly/sciosocialjan25

We also have a SCiO Slack channel (open, unlike our members-only LinkedIn group) – join at https://bit.ly/SCIOSLACK

Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety – Mark Lambertz

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Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety – Intelligente-Organisationen

Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety

Home page/Basicscybernetics/Ashby’s Law of Requisite VarietyBack

Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety

The Story of Requisite Variety for Reflective Practitioners

It is a real pity that the idea of Requisite Variety is almost unknown. From my perspective, it is astonishing that almost no one with a degree in business has heard about it, not to talk about many Agile or Lean folks. It is insofar unbelievable, as the whole concept of Requisite Variety offers fundamental insights about systems and how „goal achievement“ can be understood. Actually, it should be part of every human being’s repertoire that is involved in an organization (so basically everyone). The whole idea of Requisite Variety could be compared to the insights of the Laws of Motion from Isaac Newton. Therefore I dare to claim that the knowledge of Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety is for a business person of the same importance as Newton’s insights about Gravity for a physics researcher. I still do not understand why this relatively simple concept is not part of every business or economics school in the world – from Harvard to Frankfurt?!

First things first, therefore, let us start with an examination, what variety means. After this introduction, I’ll dive into the concept of Requisite Variety.

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Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety – Intelligente-Organisationen

SCiO Belgium – digitale meeting editie oktober 2020 – Patrick Hoverstadt on Patterns of Strategy, Wed, Oct 28, 2020 at 7:00 PM Belgium time (in English)| Eventbrite

Translated from Dutch – SCiO Belgium operates in Dutch, but the languag eof the meeting will be English

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SCiO Belgium – digitale meeting editie oktober 2020 – Patrick Hoverstadt Tickets, Wed, Oct 28, 2020 at 7:00 PM | Eventbrite

OCT 28

SCiO Belgium – digital meeting edition October 2020 – Patrick Hoverstadt

by SCiO Belgium FollowFree

Event Information

Virtual meeting (zoom) where we each time zoom in on one topic brought by an inspiring speech and zoom in from an in-depth dialogue.

About this Event

SCiO Belgium – Virtual Meeting – October 2020

Virtual meeting (zoom) where we zoom in on one topic brought by an inspiring speaker, after which we hold an in-depth dialogue.

SCiO is a network of professionals in organizational development and organization design, both within and outside the corporate world. The central objectives are (1) developing system practices, (2) sharing and scaling knowledge, (3) providing support.

This meeting will take place from 7 to 9.30 pm. Details for this meeting will be shared shortly before the event upon registration.

The program of October 28, 2020

  • 19:00 Welcome & introduction
  • 19:20 Network moment SCiO style
  • 19:30 ‘Patterns of Strategy’ – Patrick Hoverstadt – Fractal Consulting/ President SCiO (Eng)
  • 20:30 In-depth dialogue
  • 21:15 Conclusions & word of thanks

The Belgian network is a Dutch-speaking network, this meeting will take place in English given the speaker.

Patrick will introduce us to how the strategic fit between organizations drives their strategic direction. His work, which he developed together with Lucy Loh, is the first significant new approach to strategy in a long time. He unfolds a vital perspective for those who wish to understand how to maneuver their organization to change its strategic fit to their advantage.

The framework allows one to examine both your own and your competitor’s strategy and explore different patterns, allowing you to adapt successfully in your changing business environment.

After registration, we will provide you with supporting documentation

Date And Time

Wed, October 28, 2020

6:00 PM – 8:30 PM GMT

Location

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SCiO Belgium – digitale meeting editie oktober 2020 – Patrick Hoverstadt Tickets, Wed, Oct 28, 2020 at 7:00 PM | Eventbrite

T. Fischer and C.M. Herr, “Design Cybernetics: Navigating the New” (Springer, 2019) | New Books Network – review an dpodcast

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T. Fischer and C.M. Herr, “Design Cybernetics: Navigating the New” (Springer, 2019) | New Books Network

T. FISCHER AND C.M. HERR

Design Cybernetics

Navigating the New

SPRINGER 2019

August 20, 2020 Tom Scholte

Those who have followed this podcast in the past, and those who follow developments in cybernetics in the present, will be no strangers to the name Ranulph Glanville. This brilliant, multiple-PhD holding polymath who co-mingled cybernetics with ethics, pedagogy, and, above all, design, has, through his voluminous body of ground-breaking papers, had a greater influence upon the field than, arguably, any scholar since Heinz von Foerster.

At the 2015 Conference of the International Society for the Systems Sciences in Berlin, a group of self-proclaimed “Glanvillians” made up largely of former students and collaborators of Glanville, and a few interlopers like myself, met over a breakfast table at the Scandic Hotel, Potzdammer Platz, Berlin and, at the prompting of Thomas Fischer and Candy Herr, committed themselves to consolidating Glanville’s legacy and pointing the way to future extensions and investigations of his central claim that design is the practice of cybernetics and cybernetics is theory for design.

The result is Design Cybernetics: Navigating the New (Springer) edited by Fischer and Herr. Featuring an eclectic blend of mid-career and senior scholars, the assembled chapters probe the vital relationship between conversation and design, the commitments of a radical constructivist epistemology, the virtues of being “out of control”, the embracing of error, and the seemingly paradoxical notion of getting “lost with rigour” across a wide array of artistic and scientific domains.

As both the interviewer and a contributor to the book, I have, in the sprit of “walking our talk”, eschewed the erasure of error by editing and left, in full view, the meandering trail of a wandering and, at times, stumbling conversational journey featuring prolonged gaps in thinking, confusion between different articles by the same author, technical miscues, and even a pitched battle between my two cats, in order to model our commitment to process over perfection and personify Glanville’s favourite Samuel Beckett quote: “Try again, fail again, fail better.” I hope you find the stops along the way of this meandering journey as stimulating as I did.

Thomas Fischer is a design researcher, epistemologist and cybernetician. He is a Professor and Director of Research at the Department of Architecture at XJTLU in Suzhou, China. Thomas is also a Visiting Associate Professor at the School of Design at The Hong Kong Polytechnic University.

Christiane M. Herr is an architectural researcher and educator focusing on the areas of structural design, digitally supported design, radical constructivism, design pedagogy and traditional Chinese approaches to creative thinking. Christiane is a Senior Associate Professor at Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University in China, where she directs the Master of Architectural Design as well as the Bachelor of Architectural Engineering programmes.

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T. Fischer and C.M. Herr, “Design Cybernetics: Navigating the New” (Springer, 2019) | New Books Network

Understanding social-ecological systems – Stockholm Resilience Centre on YouTube

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Understanding social-ecological systems – YouTube

Understanding social-ecological systems

Stockholm Resilience Centre TV

A short intro to the interactions and interdependencies between humans and nature.

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Understanding social-ecological systems – YouTube

Cybernetics Society videos – YouTube

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Cybernetics Society – YouTube

Cybernetics Society

Cybernetics Society website

London Tube Quick Cybernetics

The Uses and Abuse of Cybernetic Concept in Economics, Dr David Dewhurst

Radically Constructing Ethics. 50th Conference.

Prof Andrew Pickering on the early life and future potential of Cybernetics

Imparity, Service-Dominant Logic, and the Architecture of Enterprise: Jenkinson, CybSoc 2019

David Wood: Cybernetics Society Conference 2019

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Cybernetics Society – YouTube

Centre for Systems Studies Seminar: Re-appraising Alexander Bogdanov’s Contribution to Systems Thinking – Prof Michael Jackson – Nov 18, 2020 4:30-6:30PM GMT

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Registration

Centre for Systems Studies Seminar: Re-appraising Alexander Bogdanov’s Contribution to Systems Thinking

  • Wed, Nov 18, 2020 4:30 PM – 6:30 PM GMT

Show in My Time Zone


Alexander Bogdanov is usually referred to, in the systems community, as someone who anticipated von Bertalanffy’s development of general system theory. With his rehabilitation in Russia, the opening of the Soviet archives, and the translation of more of his writings into English, the time is right for a fuller appraisal of the range of his contributions. This preliminary review outlines some avenues that such a reappraisal might explore. In particular: – The impact of his work at the time of the Russian revolution – The philosophy behind and the systems ideas expressed in his greatest work, Tektology – His science fiction writings describing the functioning of a fully fledged communist society situated on Mars – The similarities between his ideas and those of later systems thinkers, particularly Stafford Beer and his work in Chile Michael C. Jackson is Emeritus Professor at the University of Hull, editor-in-chief of Systems Research and Behavioral Science, and MD of Systems Research Ltd. He graduated from Oxford University, gained an MA from Lancaster University and a PhD from Hull, and has worked in the civil service, in academia and as a consultant. Between 1999 and 2011, Mike was Dean of Hull University Business School, leading it to triple-crown accreditation. Mike has been President of the International Federation for Systems Research and the International Society for the Systems Sciences. He is a Companion of the Association of Business Schools, a Chartered IT Professional, and a Fellow of the British Computer Society, the Cybernetics Society, the Chartered Management Institute, the Operational Research Society and the International Academy for Systems and Cybernetic Sciences. Mike has received many awards, two honorary degrees, and has been a visiting professor at numerous international universities. In 2011 he was awarded an OBE for services to higher education and business.

book via link:

Registration

Toward a theory of schizophrenia – Bateson – 1956 – Behavioral Science – Wiley Online Library

Toward a theory of schizophrenia Gregory Bateson Don D. Jackson Jay Haley John Weakland First published: 1956

https://doi.org/10.1002/bs.3830010402Citations: 1,420 PDFTOOLS SHARE Abstract Schizophrenia—its nature, etiology, and the kind of therapy to use for it—remains one of the most puzzling of the mental illnesses. The theory of schizophrenia presented here is based on communications analysis, and specifically on the Theory of Logical Types. From this theory and from observations of schizophrenic patients is derived a description, and the necessary conditions for, a situation called the “double bind”—a situation in which no matter what a person does, he “can’t win.” It is hypothesized that a person caught in the double bind may develop schizophrenic symptoms. How and why the double bind may arise in a family situation is discussed, together with illustrations from clinical and experimental dat

Toward a theory of schizophrenia – Bateson – 1956 – Behavioral Science – Wiley Online Library

pdf link: http://www.uio.no/studier/emner/sv/sai/SOSANT2525/h14/pensumliste/bateson_toward-a-theory-of-schizophrenia.pdf

Catch-22 and the paradoxes of organisational life | Eight to Late

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Catch-22 and the paradoxes of organisational life | Eight to Late

Catch-22 and the paradoxes of organisational life

with one comment

“You mean there’s a catch?”

“Sure there’s a catch”, Doc Daneeka replied. “Catch-22. Anyone who wants to get out of combat duty isn’t really crazy.”

There was only one catch and that was Catch-22, which specified that a concern for one’s own safety in the face of dangers that were real and immediate was the process of a rational mind. Orr was crazy and could be grounded. All he had to do was ask; and as soon as he did, he would no longer be crazy and would have to fly more missions…”   Joseph Heller, Catch-22

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Catch-22 and the paradoxes of organisational life | Eight to Late

Step into System Innovation: A festival of ideas and insights — The System Innovation Initiative by ROCKWOOL Fonden – Nov 9-13, 2020

via Systems Innovation

The System Innovation Initiative by ROCKWOOL Fonden

AboutCurrent Page:Conference 2020PodcastsNewsletterContact

Step into System Innovation
A festival of ideas and insights

November 9th – 13th, 2020 // Online & Free

Join us for a festival of inspiration and insights into the practicalities of what it takes to change a system from the inside out. We have brought together some of the boldest social innovators from around the world. With them we will dive into the work of transforming systems to tackle deep social challenges. We will share a simple framework to help anyone step into system innovation, from public sector innovators, foundations and NGOs to social entrepreneurs and mission-driven businesses.Join for free

Systems Thinking for Sustainability – Sustainability Course – FutureLearn – free

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Systems Thinking for Sustainability – Sustainability Course – FutureLearn
FutureLearn – online courses from top universities

Subjects 

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Using FutureLearn 

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Systems Thinking for Sustainability: An Introduction to the Symbiosis in Development (SiD) Theory

Understand how the Symbiosis in Development (SiD) framework helps you create the foundations of a sustainable society.Join course for free

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Systems Thinking for Sustainability – Sustainability Course – FutureLearn

System Thinking 5 weeeks course | MIT xPRO – starts Oct 26, 2020 – $1,149

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System Thinking | MIT xPRO
MIT xPRO Logo

Join Professor Sterman for a live webinar on Thursday, October 15th at 12 PM ET and get your questions answered live. Reserve your seat here.

SYSTEM THINKING

A five-week online course that will make you a better problem solver and improve the performance of your projects by teaching you to apply system thinking in technical environments.

SIGN UP FOR UPDATES & YOUR WEEKLY SCHEDULE

Submit your information to receive updates about this online course and download the week-by-week schedule.

By submitting your information, you are agreeing to receive periodic information about online programs from MIT related to the content of this course.

BECOME A VITAL PART OF YOUR ORGANIZATION’S FUTURE

We are surrounded by systems. The products, processes, and projects that we work on are increasingly complex and interrelated systems. Organizations are calling on you, their technical professionals, to drive and optimize complex projects under high-pressure conditions.  

Through this online course, MIT faculty will teach you how to think of things as systems — the process of understanding how entities influence one another within a whole. You’ll be able to then communicate that gaining insight and apply new methods, techniques, and vocabulary to your projects and processes. System thinking (or “systems thinking”) helps organizations examine complexity and simplify it; recognize patterns, and create effective solutions to challenges. Understanding and approaching problems from a systems perspective in technical environments is an essential skill for your career. 

October 26, 2020

Online

5 Weeks

$1,149

ENROLL NOW

IN THIS COURSE YOU WILL LEARN TO:

Apply systems thinking to improve the performance of your projects. Understand how systems thinking is used in diverse areas such as logistics & transportation, project management, and computation. Participate in a project management simulation to apply the concepts learned, and engage in activities to contextualize each concept.

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System Thinking | MIT xPRO