Transmission T-019: David Wolpert on statistical tools for making pandemic predictions | Santa Fe Institute

Transmission T-019: David Wolpert on statistical tools for making pandemic predictions Detail of the figure “Night” from the tomb of Giuliano de’ Medici. Michelangelo Buonarroti. Marble. 1523 APRIL 20, 2020

Transmission T-019: David Wolpert on statistical tools for making pandemic predictions | Santa Fe Institute

A Mathematical Theory of Communication – Shannon (1948)

A Brief Introduction on Shannon’s Information Theory January 2016

DOI:10.13140/RG.2.1.2912.3604

Ricky X. F. Chen, University of Virginia

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/291831205_A_Brief_Introduction_on_Shannon%27s_Information_Theory

The paper:

A Mathematical Theory of Communication

A Mathematical Theory of Communication – Wikipedia

SCiO Virtual Open Meeting – 17 January 2022 | Systems Convening from Bev and Etienne Wenger-Trayner, and Scenario Planning from Julio Graham, 18:30 UK time

SCiO Virtual Open Meeting – January 2022 | SCiO

SCiO Virtual Open Meeting – January 2022

Virtual Open Meeting: A series of presentations of general interest to Systems & Complexity in Organisation’s members and others.

About this Event

SCiO organises Open Meetings to provide opportunities for practitioners to learn and develop new practice, to build relationships, networks hear about skills, tools, practice and experiences. This virtual session will be held on Zoom, the details of which will be confirmed nearer the time.

There will be two sessions during the open meeting, as follows …

Session 1 – Systems convening: an approach to systemic learning capability for non-systems theorists

Abstract: We describe the work of people who take a systems convening approach, whether they know it or not. We articulate the mindset with which they approach the work and the different dimensions of that work.It’s a context-based, non-prescriptive conceptualisation based on people’s experiences.

Presenters: Bev and Etienne Wenger-Traynor; Social Learning Theorists & Consultants 

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Session 2 – Scenario Planning 

Abstract: Exploring scenarios systematically. 

Presenter: Julio Graham: Managing Director, Olive Professional Services

Event Resources

There are no resources associated with this event.Date & TimeMon 17 January 2022 18:30–20:30

more info and book here:

SCiO Virtual Open Meeting – January 2022 | SCiO

A centennial tribute to Gregory Bateson 1904-1980 and his influence on the fields of organizational development and action research | Hawkins (2004)

A centennial tribute to Gregory Bateson 1904-1980 and his influence on the fields of organizational development and action research Peter Hawkins 2004, Action Research

(PDF) A centennial tribute to Gregory Bateson 1904-1980 and his influence on the fields of organizational development and action research | Peter Hawkins – Academia.edu

Management Systems: A Viable Approach (book) | Maurice Yolles (1999)

Management Systems: A Viable Approach – Maurice Yolles

(PDF) Management Systems: A Viable Approach | Maurice Yolles – Academia.edu

This text explore the nature of management systems, explores the nature of methodology and method. and then presents a number of relativistic methodologies in the systems domain that are able to cope with social complexity. Case illustrations are provided for these. The book is about managing complexity, and within it a management systems approach to situations is adopted that relates to the uncertain and complex, and that involve what many might refer to in the abstract as purposeful adaptive activity systems. Management systems is the use of systems thinking to pursue management activities. It can provide an important way to showing managers and other leaders how they may be able to satisfactorily deal with complexity. Some aspects of management systems provide ways by which complex situations can be described, while others give guidelines that enable us to explain such situations. Interest here will, in addition to this, be to explore the nature of systemic inquiry into complex situations through methods that enable managers to formulate dynamic strategic plans.

Prevalence-induced concept change in human judgment – Levari et al (2018)

source (via Naomi Most):

Prevalence-induced concept change in human judgment – PubMed

Prevalence-induced concept change in human judgment

David E Levari 1, Daniel T Gilbert 2, Timothy D Wilson 3, Beau Sievers 4, David M Amodio 5, Thalia Wheatley 4Affiliations expand

Abstract

Why do some social problems seem so intractable? In a series of experiments, we show that people often respond to decreases in the prevalence of a stimulus by expanding their concept of it. When blue dots became rare, participants began to see purple dots as blue; when threatening faces became rare, participants began to see neutral faces as threatening; and when unethical requests became rare, participants began to see innocuous requests as unethical. This “prevalence-induced concept change” occurred even when participants were forewarned about it and even when they were instructed and paid to resist it. Social problems may seem intractable in part because reductions in their prevalence lead people to see more of them.

continues in source:

Prevalence-induced concept change in human judgment – PubMed

Weaving Indigenous and Modern Perspectives for Systems Change – Live Panel Discussion with Joshua Konkankoh and Adrian Röbke – Systems Change Alliance – 12 January 2022, 7pm UK time

Weaving Indigenous and Modern Perspectives for Systems Change – Live Panel Discussion with Joshua Konkankoh and Adrian Röbke DATE 12 Jan 2022 TIME 7:00 pm – 7:45 pm

Weaving Indigenous and Modern Perspectives for Systems Change – Live Panel Discussion with Joshua Konkankoh and Adrian Röbke – Systems Change Alliance

We Are Not ‘System Designers’ (and Other Random Thoughts On the Scales of Design) | by Corneliux | UX Planet

We Are Not ‘System Designers’ (and Other Random Thoughts On the Scales of Design) Corneliux

We Are Not ‘System Designers’ (and Other Random Thoughts On the Scales of Design) | by Corneliux | UX Planet

Systems Thinking Ontario – 2022-01-10

2022-01-10 January 10 (the second Monday of the month) is the 96th meeting for Systems Thinking Ontario. The registration will be at https://living-becoming-st-on.eventbrite.ca Living, Becoming, Process Philosophy: Systems Thinking in Time Structure is an arrangement in space. Process is an arrangement in time. Beyond being, living systems can be seen as becoming. Are we overlooking time, when we talk about systems thinking? What happens if we base our thinking on a process philosophy? This session may lead participants to reframe their perceptions of systems. Venue: The link for a Zoom conference will be sent upon preregistration.

Systems Thinking Ontario – 2022-01-10

Alex Vikoulov: Evolutionary Cybernetics 101: Gaia 2.0, Web 3.0

Evolutionary Cybernetics 101: Gaia 2.0, Web 3.0

Alex Vikoulov: Evolutionary Cybernetics 101: Gaia 2.0, Web 3.0

Bridging the Systems Thinking Capabilities Gap – YouTube

Bridging the Systems Thinking Capabilities Gap – YouTube

 Unlisted205 views29 Nov 20219DISLIKESHARESAVEEnlightened Enterprise Academy26 subscribersSUBSCRIBEDThis is a recording of the conference “Bridging the Systems Thinking Capability Gap: To Improve Decision-Making and Create a Better World” which took place online on November 4th 2021. Join the related LinkedIn Forum: https://www.linkedin.com/groups/9001039/

Bridging the Systems Thinking Capabilities Gap

Bridging the Systems Thinking Capabilities Gap – YouTube

Cultural Science Journal: Special Thematic Section “Eisenstein, Bogdanov, and the Organization of Culture” online

Orsan Senalp on Facebook says:

2015 conference on Bogdanov reproduced as a special issue of Cultural Science Journal, with commentaries including mine on Peter Dudley’s piece.
Special Thematic Section “Eisenstein, Bogdanov, and the Organization of Culture” (pp. 50–256)
Online at https://sciendo.com/issue/CSJ/13/1
https://bogdanovlibrary.org/…/cultural-science-journal…/

Евгений Павлов's avatarAlexander Bogdanov Library

Special Thematic Section “Eisenstein,Bogdanov, and the Organization of Culture” (pp. 50–256)
Online athttps://sciendo.com/issue/CSJ/13/1

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Systems Thinking in World’s Largest Opinionated Agile Reference Library | Agile Pain Relief Consulting

Systems Thinking
Systems Thinking takes the view that any problem we’re working on is part of a larger, interconnected system. Instead of making a quick fix, Systems Thinking encourages us to work with our team to discover the larger context that surrounds our current problem.

Systems Thinking | Agile Pain Relief Consulting

JG – Improving Agility – interview with Jamshid Gharajedaghi

Audio of Interview with Jamshid Gharajedaghi:

JG – Improving Agility

Audio of Interview with Jamshid Gharajedaghi:

Jamshid Gharajedaghi (Persian: جمشید قراچه‌داغی‎, born c. 1940) is an Iranian-American organizational theorist, is known for his work of systems thinking, managing complexity, and business architecture. His full Wikipedia page is here.

Click here to access this interview. Recorded October 03, 2012. This is a recording of one of many conversations we had during that time. In this conversation we cover Forrester, Ackoff, ‘the mess’, interactive design, power duplication, life, love and happiness as emergent properties, how decentralization requires centralization, and much more.

Some recent podcasts I have enjoyed which are relevant to our theme…

Ram Dass Here and Now – the Mechanics of Mind

https://overcast.fm/+GdAurE7c
youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d9vzf_oeNvw
podcast web page https://www.ramdass.org/ram-dass-here-and-now-ep-187-the-mechanics-of-mind/

“Ultimately, the art is you need models to function in the universe, models of mind, you need structures, but you hold them so lightly. You hold them so lightly.” – Ram Dass

General Intellect Unit
082 – John Boyd, Part 1: Destruction and Creation

youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H4lbxPVlXKo
podcast web page http://generalintellectunit.net/e/082-john-boyd-part-1-destruction-and-creation/

You have to admire the indefatigability of these guys – and this is a particularly wide-ranging and brilliant discussion.

The Work: Tyson Yunkaporta on indigenous thinking and why you can’t improve your “self”
https://overcast.fm/+vZZzUjsxE
podcast web page https://shows.acast.com/thework/episodes/tyson-yunkaporta-on-indigenous-thinking

Possibly risking slight overexposure around about now, this is Tyson Yunkaporta at his humorous and sincere best IMO, on contextual dependent rationality, wisdom listening, and intentionality.

New Books in Systems and Cybernetics
Bernard Scott, “Cybernetics for the Social Sciences” (Brill, 2021)

https://overcast.fm/+LUTKMlUZ0
podcast web page https://newbooksnetwork.com/cybernetics-for-the-social-sciences

Bernard Scott on his book of the same name (), sympathetically interviewed by Tom Scholte on cybernetics as a trans-discipline