Philip B. Stark, 2022. arXiv version 2, 25 August 2022.
Stark examines models used to support policy decisions when their assumptions lack a sound empirical basis. He questions treating unlike costs and benefits as comparable quantities, expressing every kind of uncertainty as a probability, and using parameters whose meaning is poorly supported. Examples concern earthquake risk, bird deaths near wind turbines, football penalty cards, gender bias in academia, and climate policy.
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